Methow Valley Sport Trails
Today's Forecast
↑37° ↓29°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓27° / ↑25°
  • Humidity↑64% / ↓94%
  • Regional New Snow2"
  • Regional Snow Depth9"
Mostly clear with a few clouds before noon and then cloudy later into the evening. Chance of rain and snow in the afternoon, rain and snow in the evening.
Snowfall expected to be a trace before noon and a dusting in the afternoon, then another trace amount later into the evening.
Potential Precip: 0.02 to 0.08 inches
Winds W 4 to 13 mph through the morning becoming variable at 1 to 8 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be 19 to 32 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Thursday the 13th
↑38° ↓29°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓32° / ↑33°
  • Humidity↑97% / ↓97%
  • Regional New Snow1"
  • Regional Snow Depth8"
Overcast throughout the day. Chance of rain and snow after daylight and then rain and snow in the afternoon, rain and snow in the evening.
Expected snowfall to be a trace amount in the early morning followed by another trace before noon and a dusting in the afternoon, then another dusting later into the evening.
Potential Precip: 0.07 to 0.35 inches
Winds variable at 2 to 9 mph through the morning shifting to variable at 3 to 10 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 11 mph. Expected wind chill to be 26 to 30 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Friday the 14th
↑36° ↓26°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓29° / ↑27°
  • Humidity↑82% / ↓96%
  • Regional New Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth8"
Cloudy through the morning, and then overcast becoming mostly cloudy into the evening. Chance of snow after daylight and then rain and snow in the afternoon, rain and snow in the evening.
Snowfall forecasted to be a dusting in the early morning followed by another trace before noon.
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.03 inches
Winds variable at 2 to 9 mph through the morning becoming variable at 3 to 10 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 11 mph. Expected wind chill to be 21 to 33 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Saturday the 15th
↑32° ↓24°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓26° / ↑22°
  • Humidity↑87% / ↓97%
  • Regional New Snow1"
  • Regional Snow Depth9"
Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy through the morning, and then overcast through the afternoon and evening. Chance of snow in the evening.
Expected snowfall to be a trace in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: 0.03 to 0.13 inches
Winds variable at 2 to 9 mph through the morning shifting to variable at 1 to 8 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 11 mph. Expected wind chill to be 15 to 27 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Sunday the 16th
↑35° ↓27°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓30° / ↑30°
  • Humidity↑98% / ↓95%
  • Regional New Snow5"
  • Regional Snow Depth10"
Cloudy throughout the day. Chance of snow after daylight and then rain and snow in the afternoon, rain and snow in the evening.
Snowfall forecasted to be 2 to 4 inches in the early morning, then another 2 to 4 inches before noon and a trace amount in the afternoon.
Potential Precip: 0.26 to 1.3 inches
Winds variable at 1 to 8 mph through the morning becoming variable at 1 to 8 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 10 mph. Expected wind chill to be 25 to 33 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
Monday the 17th
↑39° ↓31°
forecast icon
  • Dewpoint↓35° / ↑34°
  • Humidity↑99% / ↓97%
  • Regional New Snow0"
  • Regional Snow Depth14"
Overcast throughout the day. Chance of rain and snow after daylight and then rain and snow in the afternoon, rain and snow in the evening.
Snowfall forecasted to be a dusting in the early morning, then another dusting before noon.
Potential Precip: 0.07 to 0.35 inches
Winds variable at 1 to 8 mph through the morning shifting to S 4 to 13 mph in the afternoon, evening with gusts up to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be 29 to 35 degrees throughout the day.
Daily Freezing Level In Feet
  • Last Update29 Nov @ 06:11
  • Snow Last 24hrs0"
  • Snow Past 48 hrs0"
  • Season Total0"
  • Average Base Depth( Est ) 9"
  • Today's Snow Potential2"
Comments
None Reported

  • High Lift Elevation4,000ft
  • Base Elevation1,500ft
  • Vertical Drop2,500ft
  • Longest Trail35k
  • Trails0 of 0
  • Lifts0 of 0
  • Acreage0 of 0 ( 0% )
Other Info
  • Additional ReportsNA
16°
Current Weather Icon
 
Conditions
  • Humidity92%
  • Dewpoint14°
  • SustainedN 2mph
  • GustingN 6mph
  • VisibilityUnreported
  • Snow DepthUnreported
Comments
Unreported
Location
NCSB, WA
  • Elevation1,801ft
  • UpdatedDec 12 @ 08:15
No Webcams Available
No Webcams Available
Contact
Location
  • State: Washington
  • Country: United States
All Maps
Muckamuck close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 4,470ft
Temperature:
Snow Depth: 6"
Snow Last 24hrs: "
Salmon Meadows close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 4,460ft
Temperature: 31°
Snow Depth: 6"
Snow Last 24hrs: "
Rainy Pass close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 4,890ft
Temperature: 28°
Snow Depth: "
Snow Last 24hrs: "
Harts Pass close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 6,490ft
Temperature: 21°
Snow Depth: "
Snow Last 24hrs: "
Swamp Creek close button
Network: SNTL
Elevation: 3,930ft
Temperature: 31°
Snow Depth: 20"
Snow Last 24hrs: "
December 07, 2018 - Aspen and Western Colorado Short/ Long Range Outlook
Mostly light additional snow, then a mostly sunny weekend, and  more snow next Tuesday and Wednesday (heavier)!

HOW ARE WE DOING (please contact chris@snowforecast.com or comment below)? Let us know please...

Light snow for most areas including Aspen, and  across southwest Colorado...

-The latest storm absolutely dumped RAIN and snow across southern California, is headed mainly along the Mexico border now, and taking a southern track... El Nino style, with a few" of snow across southwest Colorado to Aspen's mountains, under a moist southwest flow of moisture across the mountains, while most energy passes to the south

This coming weekend we expect a high pressure ridge to build in, with cooler air dragged into Colorado initially on Saturday, as the southern tracking low pressure system exits (northwest/ north flow of winds from the colder north), and sunshine pops through in the then drier air... Powder + sunshine, what Colorado is known for!

LONGER RANGE:
It looks like El Nino is not an official anomaly yet, as I expected in my September LR forecast (for Aspen and SW Colorado / For northern Colorado resorts) so we are in an ENSO Neutral phase, though in the latest update from NOAA, we are seeing warming waters, still a weak El Nino at best. This may explain the more southerly tracking storm systems we have seen, and will likely see in the coming weeks of December and January. CM

Next week, the 11th onward, we expect a couple of snow storms and some moderate to significant snow for western Colorado. Because these look like strong and cold systems (ask Niseko, Japan) with a good fetch of moisture across the Pacific, they are capable of good snowfall across all of western Colorado if the track is right (a bit more north). It looks like 2 storms total for next week, one Tuesday/ Wednesday and another late next week. CM

(NO CHANGE from the last LR update) : It is looking like we may see a busy time as we approach the Christmas and New Year holiday period, with some significant storms possibly lining up to affect all of the western US including Colorado... We expect to see a 7-14 day period of down time and mostly sunny skies following this series of storms, that may start around/ after Christmas. In January we see that down time to start the month (a week-ish), then storms should kick in again on a more regular basis, but possibly favoring northern resorts this time as the east coast gets hit hard and these systems brush mainly northern Colorado. More updates are coming. Do you have any ideas on what you want to see in our discussions? Please contact through the site! We do not charge for any of our info, and have been providing it all for free since 1998, "Predicting Sick Days since 1998"! CM

Expanded Outlook

Wednesday
↑37° / ↓29°
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AM

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↑37° / ↓29°
Skys
Mostly clear with a few clouds through the morning.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a dusting before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Morning winds W 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be 19 to 30 degrees through the morning.

PM

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↑34° / ↓30°
Skys
Cloudy into the evening. Chance of rain and snow in the afternoon, rain and snow in the evening.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be a trace amount in the afternoon followed by another trace into the evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.05 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds variable at 1 to 8 mph. Expected wind chill to be 27 to 32 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 1,779ft
temperature graph
Thursday
↑38° / ↓29°
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AM

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↑38° / ↓31°
Skys
Cloudy through the morning. Chance of rain and snow after daylight.
Snow
Snowfall forecasted to be a dusting in the early morning, then another trace amount before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.03 to 0.15 inches
Winds
Morning winds variable at 2 to 9 mph. Wind chill expected to be 26 to 30 degrees through the morning.

PM

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↑36° / ↓30°
Skys
Overcast into the evening. Chance of rain and snow in the afternoon, rain and snow in the evening.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a trace in the afternoon, then another trace in the evening.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.04 to 0.2 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds variable at 3 to 10 mph. Wind chill expected to be 26 to 30 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 1,779ft
temperature graph
Friday
↑36° / ↓26°
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AM

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↑35° / ↓31°
Skys
Overcast before noon. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be a dusting in the early morning, then another trace before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.01 to 0.03 inches
Winds
Morning winds variable at 2 to 9 mph. Expected wind chill to be 25 to 30 degrees through the morning.

PM

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↑33° / ↓26°
Skys
Overcast becoming mostly cloudy into the evening. Chance of rain and snow in the afternoon, rain and snow in the evening.
Snow
Flurries possible.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Afternoon winds variable at 3 to 10 mph. Expected wind chill to be 21 to 33 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 1,779ft
temperature graph
Saturday
↑32° / ↓24°
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AM

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↑32° / ↓26°
Skys
Mostly cloudy becoming cloudy through the morning.
Snow
No snow.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Morning winds variable at 2 to 9 mph. Wind chill expected to be 15 to 27 degrees through the morning.

PM

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↑29° / ↓27°
Skys
Overcast into the evening. Chance of snow in the evening.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a trace in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.03 to 0.13 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds variable at 1 to 8 mph. Expected wind chill to be 22 to 27 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 1,779ft
temperature graph
Sunday
↑35° / ↓27°
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AM

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↑34° / ↓30°
Skys
Overcast before noon. Chance of snow after daylight.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be 2 to 4 inches in the early morning, then another 2 to 4 inches before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.2 to 0.98 inches
Winds
Morning winds variable at 1 to 8 mph. Wind chill expected to be 25 to 29 degrees through the morning.

PM

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↑33° / ↓29°
Skys
Cloudy into the evening. Chance of rain and snow in the afternoon, rain and snow in the evening.
Snow
Snowfall expected to be a trace amount in the afternoon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.04 to 0.2 inches
Winds
Afternoon winds variable at 1 to 8 mph. Wind chill expected to be 29 to 33 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 1,779ft
temperature graph
Monday
↑39° / ↓31°
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AM

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↑39° / ↓33°
Skys
Cloudy through the morning. Chance of rain and snow after daylight.
Snow
Expected snowfall to be a trace in the early morning followed by another dusting before noon.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: 0.02 to 0.1 inches
Winds
Morning winds variable at 1 to 8 mph. Wind chill expected to be 33 to 35 degrees through the morning.

PM

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↑37° / ↓32°
Skys
Cloudy through the afternoon and evening. Chance of rain and snow in the afternoon, rain and snow in the evening.
Snow
Flurries possible.
Precipitation
Potential Precip: trace amount
Winds
Afternoon winds S 4 to 13 mph with gusts up to 16 mph. Wind chill expected to be 29 to 33 degrees into the evening.
Hourly Temperatures at 1,779ft
temperature graph

Snow Maker's Corner

Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature29°
  • Soil Low Temperature25°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature30°
  • Soil Low Temperature25°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature30°
  • Soil Low Temperature26°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature29°
  • Soil Low Temperature23°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart
Regional Soil Temperatures
  • Soil High Temperature29°
  • Soil Low Temperature24°
Base Wet Bulb Temperatures (F)
chart