LATEST DISCUSSION
July 25, 2024 - Thursday - Some cooling of temperatures along with windy and drier conditions are expected today as low pressure moves into the Pacific Northwest. Drier, much cooler, and pleasant weather are expected, no thunderstorms, mostly blue skies, Friday and this weekend as low pressure sets in across the Pacific Northwest, continuing to drive drier air into the area. Higher pressure starts building in on Monday as low pressure backs off. Toward mid next week we start to see some mid 80's again, 105F in Boise, as a strong ridge of high pressure builds back in. By later next week we start to see some isolated thunderstorms and showers across the mountain.

LONGER RANGE
Temperatures warm back up the last days of July, first days of August as high pressure ridges in, showers and thunderstorms increase across the southwest deserts, and this recycles into the south Idaho area, affecting Bogus Basin with some no doubt well-received rain and thunderstorms (not wanting the lightning though). I expect this into the first couple of weeks of August (caveat; 4-7 August could be dry with Pacific Northwest low pressure setting up to dry the area out with west wind and cooling), until around the 15th of August, when we could see some stronger low pressure affecting the Pacific Northwest, and drying the area out after an initial increase in T-storms/ showers (7-9 Aug>?). Nice and copius summer thunderstorm rains which are heavy on the rain and light on the lightning should be the trend for late this summer (August) into early fall, and this is looking like a pretty good possibility, more summer showers than usual, more hurricanes than usual sending the moisture. Chris Manly, Meteorologist


PREVIOUS DISCUSSION
July 22, 2024 - Monday - (from the last long range discussion)->"Monday/ Tuesday/ Wednesday we may see chances for thunderstorms and showers as the pattern shifts and allows moisture into the area from the south, after which, strong (for the time of year) low pressure moves across the Canadian border, with dry and windy weather, back to the 70's and maybe cooler all week and weekend (most of the rest of July)" So it looks like we are on track, T-storm threats are minimal but present today and Wednesday, Tuesday looking mostly dry, Thursday chances are back again as low pressure pulls some moisture north from the desert southwest, with some cooling of temperatures. Drier, much cooler, and pleasant weather are expected, no thunderstorms, mostly blue skies, Friday and this weekend as low pressure sets in across the Pacific Northwest, driving drier air into the area. Higher pressure starts building in on Sunday as low pressure backs off (see the "longer" range forecast).

LONGER RANGE
Temperatures warm back up the last days of July, first days of August as high pressure ridges in, showers and thunderstorms increase across the southwest deserts, and this recycles into the south Idaho area, affecting Bogus Basin with some no doubt well-received rain and thunderstorms (not wanting the lightning though). I expect this into the first week or more of August, until around the 10th of August, when we could see some stronger low pressure affecting the Pacific Northwest, and drying the area out after an initial increase in T-storms/ showers (7-9 Aug>?). Nice and copius summer thunderstorm rains which are heavy on the rain and light on the lightning should be the trend for late this summer (August) into early fall, and this is looking like a pretty good possibility, more summer showers than usual, more hurricanes than usual sending the moisture. Chris Manly, Meteorologist


OLDER DISCUSSION
July 16, 2024 - Tuesday - Very warm, warmer under a high pressure ridge, 100+ in Boise today through Thursday, and a much cooler 70's to 85F (top-bottom) for Bogus Basin, with some moisture seeping up from the south and allowing for hit and miss thunderstorms/ showers on Wednesday mainly, then drying out Thursday under a drier northwest wind flow. We heat back up to near 90F at Bogus Basin (low 80's for the summit), and 105-110F for Boise under mostly sunny skies and a stronger high pressure ridge this weekend.

LONGER RANGE
Next Monday/ Tuesday/ Wednesday we may see chances for thunderstorms and showers as the pattern shifts and allows moisture into the area from the south, after which, strong (for the time of year) low pressure moves across the Canadian border, with dry and windy weather, back to the 70's and maybe cooler all week and weekend (most of the rest of July). Nice and copius summer thunderstorm rains which are heavy on the rain and light on the lightning should be the trend for late this summer (August) into early fall, and this is looking like a pretty good possibility, more summer showers than usual, more hurricanes than usual sending the moisture. Chris Manly, Meteorologist


OLDER DISCUSSION
July 13, 2024 - Saturday - HOT under a high pressure ridge, 105-110 in Boise today and Sunday, and a much cooler upper 80's for Bogus Basin, with some moisture seeping up from the south and allowing for hit and miss thunderstorms with showers on Sunday, then drying out Monday under a drier northwest wind flow. It looks like we heat back up to 105+ for Boise and mid-upper 80's for Bogus Basin under mostly sunny skies and a high pressure ridge next week.

LONGER RANGE
Next weekend, after the 20th of July, expect increased chances for thunderstorms and showers as the pattern shifts and allows moisture into the area from the south. Nice and copius summer thunderstorm rains which are heavy on the rain and light on the lightning should be the trend for this summer into early fall, and this is looking like a pretty good possibility, more summer showers than usual, more hurricanes than usual sending the moisture. Chris Manly, Meteorologist


OLDER DISCUSSION
July 09, 2024 - Tuesday - HOT all week under a strong high pressure ridge, 105-110 in Boise and ranging from a much cooler mid 80's to 90 all week, but peaking at low 90's for Bogus Basin (110+F in Boise) on Saturday, then with some moisture seeping up from the south and allowing for hit and miss thunderstorms with showers Saturday and Sunday, into Monday.

LONGER RANGE
Mostly dry and not as warm (mostly low 80's for Bogus Basin) weather is expected most of next week, then by next weekend and the following week (after the 20th of July), increased chances for thunderstorms and showers are expected. Really nice and copius summer thunderstorm rains which are heavy on the rain and light on the lightning should be the trend for this summer into early fall, and this is looking like a pretty good possibility, more summer showers than usual, more hurricanes than usual sending the moisture. Chris Manly, Meteorologist


OLDER DISCUSSION
July 03, 2024 - Wednesday - It is looking cool right now with some windy conditions at times... but soak this coolness in, because it is about to get hot. Thursday and Friday we see high pressure ridging building in, and a warm up, then by Saturday and through early next week, a large scale and strong high pressure ridge develops and causes a real heat wave, with temperatures hitting 105-110F in Boise and the Treasure Valley, but a much cooler 80's for Bogus Basin, approaching 90 at the heat wave's peak on Tuesday.

LONGER RANGE
As the hurricane season is ramping up (with a record early Cat 5 Hurricane in the Caribbean), expect to see some thunderstorms and showers in the area but mostly just to the east (its a fine line, and Bogus Basin is between drier Pac NW air and more humid southwest US moisture/ monsoon flow. So I expect some interaction and we should see some thunderstorms and showers mid and late next week (July 10th onward), with cooling temperatures as well. Really nice and copius summer thunderstorm rains which are heavy on the rain and light on the lightning should be the trend for this summer into early fall, and this is looking like a pretty good possibility, more summer showers than usual. Chris Manly, Meteorologist


OLDER DISCUSSION
June 27, 2024 - Thursday - Today looks sharply cooler as 30-37F air moves in at 10,000 feet this morning and afternoon with a low pressure system and cold front, mostly dry. Notably chilly conditions are expected, with temperatures in the 40's most of the day (all day up top) and windy conditions, so an extra layer is a good idea. An isolated shower is possible, but conditions are looking dry. Friday and Saturday look warmer, with some windy conditions developing later Saturday and through Sunday as another dry (for us) Pacific NW system moves through. Monday and Tuesday we start out cool (cool front), and warmer temperatures are expected on Tuesday.

LONGER RANGE
A large scale and STRONG high-pressure ridge builds in across the Northwest US, a summer pattern with some moisture possibly moving up from the south, and hot temperatures expected in Boise (100+F in Boise, and a cooler 80's at Bogus Basin), with some afternoon/ evening thunderstorms and showers possible for southern Idaho and Bogus Basin through the 7th of July. The GOA (Gulf of Alaska) low pressure systems are not done yet though, and after the 7th-8th of July more wind and cooling is expected, maybe even showers from this pattern until 12 July, but we are looking mostly dry. I feel the odd GOA low pressure systems will persist further into July, as the hurricane season ramps up (already starting early). Hopefully there is some interaction and we see some really nice and copius summer thunderstorm rains which are heavy on the rain and light on the lightning (this is looking like a pretty good possibility, more summer showers than usual. Chris Manly, Meteorologist


OLDER DISCUSSION
June 23, 2024 - Sunday - Warm temperatures continue today as a low pressure system moves through to the north, and sends a cool front through on gusty winds today, then cooler air filters in for Monday, still 70f and breezy to windy, dry. On Tuesday high pressure ridges back in, with warmer temperatures but nothing I would call "heat". Wednesday we see some gusty winds and warm temperatures, afternoon cloud buildups but no storms, as low pressure and a more significant cold front move through late Wednesday. Thursday looks sharply cooler, chilly even, with temperatures in the 40's most of the day (all day up top) and windy conditions, so an extra layer is a good idea. I will have to watch for a possible shower but it is looking dry for now. Friday and Saturday look warmer, with some windy conditions developing later Saturday and through Sunday as another dry (for us) Pacific NW system moves through.

LONGER RANGE
July 1; A large scale high-pressure ridge builds in across the western US, a summer pattern with some moisture possibly moving up from the south, and hot temperatures expected in Boise (100+F in Boise, and a cooler 80's at Bogus Basin), with some afternoon/ evening thunderstorms and showers possible for southern Idaho and Bogus Basin through early July. The GOA (Gulf of Alaska) low pressure systems are not done yet though, and after the 5th or so of July more wind and cooling is expected, maybe even showers from this between 6 and 10 July. I feel the odd GOA low pressure systems will persist further into July, as the hurricane season ramps u (already starting early). Hopefully there is some interaction and we see some really nice and copius summer thunderstorm rains which are heavy on the rain and light on the lightning. Chris Manly, Meteorologist


OLDER DISCUSSION
June 20, 2024 - Thursday - low pressure lingers in a much weakened state across the area as high pressure starts to build from the south, for some warming of temperatures. By Friday and this weekend temperatures warm up noticeably, warmest yet this season, hitting the low 80s on the mountain as strong high-pressure ridging builds across the western US. Winds start to increase later Saturday as low pressure approaches, but this one is weaker and remains to the north, with a cool down on a windy Sunday but no rain expected. Monday and Tuesday high pressure ridges back in, with warmer near 80F temperatures coming back.

LONGER RANGE
Strong high-pressure ridging and hot temperatures are expected next Tuesday/ Wednesday (25-26 June); a heat wave. Around June 27th through the 29th/ 30th of June expect some gusty winds and cooling of temperatures dropping to the 50's and 60's for high temps, and maybe even some rain showers. By July 1; A massive high-pressure ridge builds in across the western US, a real deep-summer pattern with some moisture possibly moving up from the south, and hot temperatures expected in Boise (100+F in Boise, and a cooler 80's to near 90F at Bogus Basin), with some afternoon/ evening thunderstorms and showers possible for southern Idaho and Bogus Basin through early July. Chris Manly, Meteorologist


OLDER DISCUSSION
June 17, 2024 - Monday - It's looking cold and snowy today as strong late season low-pressure moves through the area, and some snow accumulations hit the mountain, even down to 5,000 feet. Areas to the north could see over a foot of snow from this, and the Bogus Basin summit could see 4 to 5 inches of snow. This activity starts to clear out this evening and overnight as low pressure starts pulling east. On Tuesday, expect temperatures that remain well below average for June as low pressure lingers, though in a weaker state, and we just expect some clouds at times, maybe an isolated snow shower in the afternoon, as there will be snow to the north and northeast. Wednesday and Thursday low pressure lingers in a much weakened state across the area as high pressure starts to build from the south, for some warming of temperatures. By Friday and this weekend temperatures really warm up, warmest yet this season, hitting the low 80s on the mountain as strong high-pressure ridging builds across the western US. Winds start to increase later Saturday as low pressure approaches, but this one is weaker and remains to the north, with a noticeable cool down on a windy Sunday but no rain expected.

LONGER RANGE
Strong high-pressure ridging and hot temperatures are expected next Tuesday/ Wednesday (25-26 June); a heat wave. Around June 27th through the 29th/ 30th of June expect some gusty winds and cooling of temperatures back to the 70's for highs, remaining dry. By July 1; A massive high-pressure ridge builds in across the western US, a real deep-summer pattern with some moisture possibly moving up from the south, and hot temperatures expected in Boise (100+F in Boise, and a cooler 80's to near 90F at Bogus Basin), with some afternoon/ evening thunderstorms and showers possible for southern Idaho and Bogus Basin through early July. Chris Manly, Meteorologist


OLDER DISCUSSION
June 11, 2024 - Tuesday - Today through Thursday a high pressure ridge mostly dominates with low pressure at times up north causing some wind, otherwise warmer temperatures today, cooler Wednesday (weak cool front), and warmer on Thursday. A fairly strong low pressure system moves into the Pacific Northwest Friday and this weekend, into early next week, with dry conditions expected (removed the T-storm chances for Friday), but pretty chilly air for mid June. By next Monday and Tuesday (17-18 June) high temperatures could stay in the 40s as this low pressure carves south, with some light shower potential, and high mountain snow (snow is possible for Bogus Basin by next Tuesday or Wednesday the 18th-19th).

LONGER RANGE
From the last discussion --> Strong low pressure moves into the Pacific Northwest with some wind and cooling (21F at 10,000 feet, pretty cold for June) for southern Idaho and Bogus Basin after the 16th or so... Snow is possible next Tuesday and or Wednesday (18-19 June) as low pressure strengthens and dips further south. This unsettled and cooler than usual weather should continue through the 22nd or so (on track), then the last part of June we see a big heat wave. Chris Manly, Meteorologist


OLDER DISCUSSION
June 07, 2024 - Friday - Temperatures are quite pleasant, and mostly sunshine is expected, though we have some PM thunderstorm potential, its a close call today, but more so on Saturday and Sunday as approaching low pressure helps funnel some extra instability and moisture into the area on a southerly atmospheric wind flow peppered with upper-level instability. By Monday through Wednesday we are looking sunny under a stronger high pressure ridge and no instability, warmer temperatures. Late next week looks like a return of some potential PM thunder and showers, after more sunshine each morning.

LONGER RANGE
Strong low pressure moves into the Pacific Northwest with some wind and cooling (21F at 10,000 feet, pretty cold for June) for southern Idaho and Bogus Basin after the 16th or so, but we should remain mostly dry except for the initial cold front (causing some showers and probably thunderstorms also) around the 14-16th. This unsettled and cooler than usual weather should continue through the 22nd or so, then the last part of June we see a big heat wave. Chris Manly, Meteorologist


OLDER DISCUSSION
June 02, 2024 - Sunday - A low pressure system and cold front move through tonight and Monday, with lots of wind, and lots of rain expected, some thunderstorms also. Overall, a good thing to put more water into the fuel sources. Monday looks like a cloudy and rainy day. Tuesday and Wednesday look cool and with less wind by Wednesday, as a high pressure ridge builds in. Thursday through Saturday expect some weather disturbances to act on moisture moving up from the south, and provide some late daily showers and thunderstorms across the area, all welcome pre-summer.

LONGER RANGE
Strong high-pressure ridging builds in across the Northwest US and southwest Canada, with warmer than average weather up to around the 15th, then strong low pressure moves into the Pacific Northwest with some wind and cooling for southern Idaho and Bogus Basin after the 16th or so, but we should remain mostly dry except for the initial cold front around the 16th. Chris Manly, Meteorologist


OLDER WEATHER DISCUSSION
May 29, 2024 - Wednesday - After some thunderstorms and showers yesterday, a chilly 40's is expected on a breezy to windy Wednesday, post cold front, big temperature drop. Thursday and through the weekend look slightly unsettled, with temperatures staying mostly near to below average after a chilly Thursday. Saturday and Monday 2 low pressure systems move in mainly to the north, and kick off mainly late day thunderstorms and showers each day.

LONGER RANGE
We may see our first heat wave around, after the 5th of June as a big ridge may build in across the Northwest US and southwest Canada, with low pressure across the eastern Pacific helping to amplify this ridge. After warmer than average weather up to around the 15th, strong low pressure moves into the Pacific Northwest with some wind and cooling for southern Idaho and Bogus Basin. Chris Manly, Meteorologist


OLDER DISCUSSION
May 26, 2024 - Sunday - Today and Monday expect a warm up to near 70F under a high pressure ridge as low pressure exits... The high pressure ridge holds Monday, then again on a warmer Tuesday, with warming and then by later afternoon through overnight Tuesday, thunderstorms and showers as low pressure approaches with a pretty strong cold front. Some strong T-storms are possible due in part to this strong cold-frontal temperature contrast. High temperatures go from the 60's near 70F on a thunderstormy (scientific, trust us) Tuesday, to the chilly 40's on a breezy to windy Wednesday, post cold front. Thursday and through next weekend look slightly unsettled, but dry, with some clouds and temperatures staying mostly near to below average with some breeziness.

LONGER RANGE
We may see our first heat wave around, after the 5th of June as a big ridge may build in across the Northwest US and southwest Canada, with low pressure across the eastern Pacific helping to amplify this ridge. Chris Manly, Meteorologist


OLDER WEATHER DISCUSSION
May 21, 2024 - Tuesday - It looks more unsettled than settled with low pressure systems moving through and causing snow for the resort, Wednesday (fairly significant for late May) and again Saturday, with mostly chilly conditions in between, except for warming Friday, though low pressure moves in Friday and causes rain and 7,000 foot (and above) snowfall. This same storm causes significant snow for Bogus Basin on Saturday. Sunday and Monday we warm right up, approaching 70F as we move into next week...



LONGER RANGE
1 half low pressure and 1/2 high pressure is looking busy with low pressure systems and rain, snow, well into June. Chris Manly, Meteorologist