Hazard Report Provided By forecast.weather.gov

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
115 PM EST Sun Dec 28 2025

NYZ019-085-291815-
Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
115 PM EST Sun Dec 28 2025

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...
...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...
...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM TO 10 PM EST MONDAY...
...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM MONDAY TO 1 AM
EST FRIDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.
   Lakeshore Flood Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flood Watch.
   High Wind Warning.
   Lakeshore Flood Warning.
   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

This product, along with other watches, warnings, advisories, and
statements issued by the National Weather Service office in Buffalo
can be found on the internet at http://www.weather.gov/buf

$$

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
207 AM EST Mon Dec 29 2025

NYZ012-019-020-085-291915-
/O.CON.KBUF.WS.W.0006.251229T1800Z-260102T0600Z/
Wyoming-Chautauqua-Cattaraugus-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Warsaw, Jamestown, Olean, Orchard Park,
and Springville
207 AM EST Mon Dec 29 2025

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON
TO 1 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations 1 to 3 feet.
  Winds gusting as high as 65 mph creating blowing and drifting snow
  and whiteout conditions.

* WHERE...Wyoming, Chautauqua, Cattaraugus, and Southern Erie
  Counties.

* WHEN...From 1 PM this afternoon to 1 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Whiteout conditions are expected and will make travel
  treacherous and potentially life-threatening. Travel will be very
  difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact travel through the
  week.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Lake effect snow is expected oscillate
  several times downwind of Lake Erie this week. Forecast snowfall
  amounts could be much higher where lake bands persist during this
  long duration event. The strongest winds will be today and tonight.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Widespread accumulating snow will create dangerous travel conditions.

Submit snow reports through our website or social media.

&&

$$

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
131 AM EST Mon Dec 29 2025

NYZ001-002-010>012-019>021-085-292100-
/O.CON.KBUF.FA.A.0009.000000T0000Z-251229T2100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Niagara-Orleans-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Chautauqua-
Cattaraugus-Allegany-Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Buffalo, Batavia,
Warsaw, Jamestown, Olean, Wellsville, Orchard Park, and
Springville
131 AM EST Mon Dec 29 2025

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Flooding caused by excessive rainfall continues to be
  possible.

* WHERE...A portion of western New York, including the following
  counties, Allegany, Cattaraugus, Chautauqua, Genesee, Niagara,
  Northern Erie, Orleans, Southern Erie and Wyoming.

* WHEN...Through this afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Excessive runoff may result in flooding of rivers,
  creeks, streams, and other low-lying and flood-prone locations.
  The greatest threat for flooding will be along the Buffalo area
  creeks and rivers. Flooding may occur in poor drainage and urban
  areas.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - Rainfall has averaged between 0.50-1.5" in the watch area.
    Additional rainfall will average a quarter to a third of an
    inch. Runoff will continue this morning, but will sharply
    slow as colder temperatures move into the area.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be alert for possible Flood
Warnings. Those living in areas prone to flooding should be prepared
to take action should flooding develop.

&&

$$

TMA

Lakeshore Hazard Message
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1236 AM EST Mon Dec 29 2025

NYZ001-010-019-085-291600-
/O.CON.KBUF.LS.W.0003.251229T1000Z-251230T0300Z/
Niagara-Northern Erie-Chautauqua-Southern Erie-
1236 AM EST Mon Dec 29 2025

...LAKESHORE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 5 AM EARLY THIS
MORNING TO 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Significant lakeshore flooding expected.

* WHERE...Niagara, Erie, and Chautauqua counties.

* WHEN...From 5 AM early this morning to 10 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...The rapid rise in water levels will result in
  lakeshore flooding along the Lake Erie and Upper Niagara River
  shores. Along the Lake Erie shore, flooding is likely along
  Route 5 in Hamburg, Buffalo Harbor and Canalside, Dunkirk
  Harbor, and other flood prone locations. Along the Upper
  Niagara River, flooding is likely to affect Grand Island and
  Cayuga Island. Very high wave action will also result in
  significant shoreline erosion.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Lakeshore Flood Warning means lakeshore flooding is occurring,
is imminent, or is expected to occur. For your safety, stay off
breakwaters, piers, rock outcroppings and beaches! Waves are
often larger than they appear and can easily wash you away.
Expect significant beach erosion and debris, local road closures
and extremely dangerous boating conditions.

&&

$$

TMA

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1043 PM EST Sun Dec 28 2025

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in New
York...

  Cazenovia Creek Near Cazenovia Creek at Ebenezer affecting Erie
  County.

For the Cazenovia Creek...including Cazenovia Creek at Ebenezer...
Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Monday morning by 1100 AM EST.

&&

NYC029-291600-
/O.EXT.KBUF.FL.W.0002.251229T1146Z-251230T0024Z/
/EBZN6.1.ER.251229T1146Z.251229T1800Z.251229T1824Z.UU/
1043 PM EST Sun Dec 28 2025

...FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING TO MONDAY
EVENING...

* WHAT...Minor flooding is forecast.

* WHERE...Cazenovia Creek near Cazenovia Creek at Ebenezer.

* WHEN...From Monday morning to Monday evening.

* IMPACTS...At 10.0 feet, Flood stage, minor flooding can be
  expected in low lying areas east of Orchard Park Road and south of
  Ridge Road in West Seneca. Some inundation of Cazenovia Park in
  South Buffalo.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...
  - At 10:00 PM EST Sunday the stage was 6.9 feet.
  - Bankfull stage is 10.0 feet.
  - Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage
    Monday morning to a crest of 10.2 feet early Monday
    afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage by mid to late
    Monday afternoon.
  - Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
  - Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of
    10.2 feet on 02/18/2022.
  - http://www.weather.gov/safety/flood

&&

LAT...LON 4279 7876 4282 7884 4289 7884 4281 7858
      4273 7857 4275 7870


$$

PP

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
857 PM EST Sun Dec 28 2025

NYZ001>003-010>012-019-085-291400-
/O.CON.KBUF.HW.W.0004.251229T0900Z-251230T0600Z/
Niagara-Orleans-Monroe-Northern Erie-Genesee-Wyoming-Chautauqua-
Southern Erie-
Including the cities of Niagara Falls, Medina, Rochester,
Buffalo, Batavia, Warsaw, Jamestown, Orchard Park, and
Springville
857 PM EST Sun Dec 28 2025

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 75 mph
  expected. The strongest wind gusts will be along the Lake Erie
  shoreline and near Downtown Buffalo.

* WHERE...Erie, Niagara, Orleans, Monroe, Genesee, Wyoming, and
  Chautauqua Counties.

* WHEN...From 4 AM Monday to 1 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines.
  Widespread power outages are expected. Shallow rooted trees in a
  saturated ground will be more susceptible to falling. Travel will
  be extremely difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Avoid being outside in forested areas and around trees. If possible,
remain in the lower levels of your home during the windstorm, and
avoid windows. Use caution if you must drive.

&&

$$

Hazard Report Provided By forecast.weather.gov